Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from major models positions 26°C as the most probable daily maximum for Incheon on September 14, driven by northwest winds of 5–7 m/s, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure limiting daytime heating. Current conditions near 25–26°C highs on September 12–13, combined with minimal frontal activity and typical early-autumn climatology for the region, support this range over warmer or cooler outliers. Model spreads remain narrow, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will further refine trader assessments of these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 14. September?
26°C 55%
25°C 18%
27°C 16%
24°C 10%
20°C oder weniger
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
22%
26°C
55%
27°C
14%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C oder höher
3%
26°C 55%
25°C 18%
27°C 16%
24°C 10%
20°C oder weniger
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
22%
26°C
55%
27°C
14%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from major models positions 26°C as the most probable daily maximum for Incheon on September 14, driven by northwest winds of 5–7 m/s, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure limiting daytime heating. Current conditions near 25–26°C highs on September 12–13, combined with minimal frontal activity and typical early-autumn climatology for the region, support this range over warmer or cooler outliers. Model spreads remain narrow, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will further refine trader assessments of these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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