Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high in Guangzhou near 32–33°C on September 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeast winds, moderate humidity around 50–60%, and mostly partly cloudy skies that permit afternoon warming without excessive heat buildup. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward 31–33°C, consistent with the September climatological average high of about 32.3°C and current steering patterns limiting stronger tropical moisture or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 32°C or 33°C as the peak, reflecting convergence on these values ahead of the usual afternoon maximum window, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated model runs and local station data will further refine resolution as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 12. September?
32°C 52%
33°C 37%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$28,862 Vol.
$28,862 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
42%
33°C
30%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 52%
33°C 37%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$28,862 Vol.
$28,862 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$189 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,400 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$932 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,090 Vol.
42%
33°C
$4,588 Vol.
30%
34°C
$4,637 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$8,238 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
37°C oder höher
$327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high in Guangzhou near 32–33°C on September 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeast winds, moderate humidity around 50–60%, and mostly partly cloudy skies that permit afternoon warming without excessive heat buildup. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward 31–33°C, consistent with the September climatological average high of about 32.3°C and current steering patterns limiting stronger tropical moisture or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 32°C or 33°C as the peak, reflecting convergence on these values ahead of the usual afternoon maximum window, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated model runs and local station data will further refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$28,862Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high in Guangzhou near 32–33°C on September 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeast winds, moderate humidity around 50–60%, and mostly partly cloudy skies that permit afternoon warming without excessive heat buildup. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward 31–33°C, consistent with the September climatological average high of about 32.3°C and current steering patterns limiting stronger tropical moisture or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 32°C or 33°C as the peak, reflecting convergence on these values ahead of the usual afternoon maximum window, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated model runs and local station data will further refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,862Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily high in Guangzhou near 32–33°C on September 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeast winds, moderate humidity around 50–60%, and mostly partly cloudy skies that permit afternoon warming without excessive heat buildup. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing toward 31–33°C, consistent with the September climatological average high of about 32.3°C and current steering patterns limiting stronger tropical moisture or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 32°C or 33°C as the peak, reflecting convergence on these values ahead of the usual afternoon maximum window, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in cloud cover or wind. Updated model runs and local station data will further refine resolution as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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