Current observational data and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under clear to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity around 50%, supporting a daytime peak near 28–29°C. This alignment of real-time measurements—reaching the low 29°C range midday before stabilizing—drives the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for a 28°C high. Historical September baselines and ensemble model consensus reinforce limited upside potential absent unusual atmospheric instability. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted cloud cover could still cap or slightly elevate readings, though such deviations appear improbable given the tight clustering of guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 12. September?
28°C 99.4%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
25°C oder niedriger <1%
$74,498 Vol.
$74,498 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 99.4%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
25°C oder niedriger <1%
$74,498 Vol.
$74,498 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,612 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$12,456 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$24,675 Vol.
99%
29°C
$10,539 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,204 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$6,432 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,199 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$625 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
35°C oder höher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under clear to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity around 50%, supporting a daytime peak near 28–29°C. This alignment of real-time measurements—reaching the low 29°C range midday before stabilizing—drives the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for a 28°C high. Historical September baselines and ensemble model consensus reinforce limited upside potential absent unusual atmospheric instability. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted cloud cover could still cap or slightly elevate readings, though such deviations appear improbable given the tight clustering of guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$74,498Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under clear to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity around 50%, supporting a daytime peak near 28–29°C. This alignment of real-time measurements—reaching the low 29°C range midday before stabilizing—drives the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for a 28°C high. Historical September baselines and ensemble model consensus reinforce limited upside potential absent unusual atmospheric instability. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted cloud cover could still cap or slightly elevate readings, though such deviations appear improbable given the tight clustering of guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$74,498Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current observational data and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under clear to mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity around 50%, supporting a daytime peak near 28–29°C. This alignment of real-time measurements—reaching the low 29°C range midday before stabilizing—drives the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for a 28°C high. Historical September baselines and ensemble model consensus reinforce limited upside potential absent unusual atmospheric instability. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted cloud cover could still cap or slightly elevate readings, though such deviations appear improbable given the tight clustering of guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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