Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature near 23°C for Shanghai on September 12 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 23°C over 24°C reflects this model agreement and historical September nighttime lows around 22–24°C, while the narrow gap highlights sensitivity to minor differences in dew point or cloud cover in the final hours. No incoming weather systems or frontal passages are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution, keeping outcomes tightly clustered.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 12. September?
23°C 43%
24°C 26%
22°C 25%
25°C 6%
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
25%
23°C
43%
24°C
26%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 43%
24°C 26%
22°C 25%
25°C 6%
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
25%
23°C
43%
24°C
26%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a minimum temperature near 23°C for Shanghai on September 12 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 23°C over 24°C reflects this model agreement and historical September nighttime lows around 22–24°C, while the narrow gap highlights sensitivity to minor differences in dew point or cloud cover in the final hours. No incoming weather systems or frontal passages are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution, keeping outcomes tightly clustered.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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