Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and multiple international models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 11, driven by southerly winds, increasing cloud cover after morning sunshine, and typical early-autumn coastal moderation. This positioning explains the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C as reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs and recent daily highs near 27°C on September 10. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection limits upside risk. Traders appear to weigh short-term forecast revisions and diurnal peaks against the coastal cooling influence ahead of the market's resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 11. September?
27°C 44%
28°C 30%
26°C 16%
29°C 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
44%
28°C
30%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C oder höher
4%
27°C 44%
28°C 30%
26°C 16%
29°C 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
$352 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$217 Vol.
2%
25°C
$448 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,037 Vol.
16%
27°C
$2,141 Vol.
44%
28°C
$949 Vol.
30%
29°C
$126 Vol.
7%
30°C
$239 Vol.
4%
31°C oder höher
$42 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and multiple international models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 11, driven by southerly winds, increasing cloud cover after morning sunshine, and typical early-autumn coastal moderation. This positioning explains the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C as reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs and recent daily highs near 27°C on September 10. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection limits upside risk. Traders appear to weigh short-term forecast revisions and diurnal peaks against the coastal cooling influence ahead of the market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$5,833Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and multiple international models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 11, driven by southerly winds, increasing cloud cover after morning sunshine, and typical early-autumn coastal moderation. This positioning explains the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C as reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs and recent daily highs near 27°C on September 10. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection limits upside risk. Traders appear to weigh short-term forecast revisions and diurnal peaks against the coastal cooling influence ahead of the market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,833Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and multiple international models indicate a high of 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 11, driven by southerly winds, increasing cloud cover after morning sunshine, and typical early-autumn coastal moderation. This positioning explains the market's leading implied probabilities for 27°C and 28°C as reflecting residual uncertainty in model runs and recent daily highs near 27°C on September 10. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while the absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection limits upside risk. Traders appear to weigh short-term forecast revisions and diurnal peaks against the coastal cooling influence ahead of the market's resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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