**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Real-time observations from local stations and short-range model guidance show temperatures climbing to peaks near 25–28°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, consistent with mid-September coastal climatology where the Yellow Sea moderates extremes. Hourly data indicate the highest readings occurring in the afternoon before cooling overnight, aligning with typical diurnal ranges of 6–8°C in the region. Official verification from Qingdao meteorological authorities will determine exact resolution based on the recorded maximum. Only rapid model shifts or localized heat anomalies could realistically alter the outcome, though current consensus across sources leaves little room for deviation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 12. September?
27°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
21°C oder niedriger <1%
$25,909 Vol.
$25,909 Vol.
21°C oder niedriger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
21°C oder niedriger <1%
$25,909 Vol.
$25,909 Vol.
21°C oder niedriger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Real-time observations from local stations and short-range model guidance show temperatures climbing to peaks near 25–28°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, consistent with mid-September coastal climatology where the Yellow Sea moderates extremes. Hourly data indicate the highest readings occurring in the afternoon before cooling overnight, aligning with typical diurnal ranges of 6–8°C in the region. Official verification from Qingdao meteorological authorities will determine exact resolution based on the recorded maximum. Only rapid model shifts or localized heat anomalies could realistically alter the outcome, though current consensus across sources leaves little room for deviation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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