Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 100°F for Austin on September 14 under mostly sunny skies, southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating. This setup reflects continued late-summer warmth well above the historical average high of about 91°F, with minimal cloud cover and only an 18% chance of light precipitation. Trader sentiment remains closely divided across the 96-101°F bins because small differences in afternoon peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias can shift the observed maximum by a few degrees. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 14. September?
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 35%
100-101°F 35%
94-95°F 29%
89°F oder weniger
12%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
17%
106-107°F
14%
108°F oder höher
13%
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 35%
100-101°F 35%
94-95°F 29%
89°F oder weniger
12%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
17%
106-107°F
14%
108°F oder höher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 100°F for Austin on September 14 under mostly sunny skies, southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating. This setup reflects continued late-summer warmth well above the historical average high of about 91°F, with minimal cloud cover and only an 18% chance of light precipitation. Trader sentiment remains closely divided across the 96-101°F bins because small differences in afternoon peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias can shift the observed maximum by a few degrees. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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