Forecast models from major weather agencies project a daytime high near 100°F for Austin on September 13, driven by continued southerly winds, abundant low-level moisture, and limited cloud cover that will allow strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability and the 98-99°F bin at 31.5%, as current runs show limited spread around that peak. The reading would sit well above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 92°F, reflecting an ongoing heat wave that has already produced similar values on September 12. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service update and any late adjustments from high-resolution models for signs of slight cooling or intensification before resolution on the official maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 13. September?
100-101 °F 51%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 3%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
89°F oder darunter
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
32%
100-101 °F
51%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F oder höher
1%
100-101 °F 51%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 3%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
89°F oder darunter
$181 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$143 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$86 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$144 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$3 Vol.
32%
100-101 °F
$520 Vol.
51%
102-103°F
$44 Vol.
16%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$5 Vol.
1%
108°F oder höher
$173 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major weather agencies project a daytime high near 100°F for Austin on September 13, driven by continued southerly winds, abundant low-level moisture, and limited cloud cover that will allow strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability and the 98-99°F bin at 31.5%, as current runs show limited spread around that peak. The reading would sit well above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 92°F, reflecting an ongoing heat wave that has already produced similar values on September 12. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service update and any late adjustments from high-resolution models for signs of slight cooling or intensification before resolution on the official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,298Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major weather agencies project a daytime high near 100°F for Austin on September 13, driven by continued southerly winds, abundant low-level moisture, and limited cloud cover that will allow strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability and the 98-99°F bin at 31.5%, as current runs show limited spread around that peak. The reading would sit well above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 92°F, reflecting an ongoing heat wave that has already produced similar values on September 12. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service update and any late adjustments from high-resolution models for signs of slight cooling or intensification before resolution on the official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,298Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major weather agencies project a daytime high near 100°F for Austin on September 13, driven by continued southerly winds, abundant low-level moisture, and limited cloud cover that will allow strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability and the 98-99°F bin at 31.5%, as current runs show limited spread around that peak. The reading would sit well above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 92°F, reflecting an ongoing heat wave that has already produced similar values on September 12. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service update and any late adjustments from high-resolution models for signs of slight cooling or intensification before resolution on the official maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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