Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 50s°F for Chicago on September 14, driven by northwest flow advecting cooler, drier air behind a frontal passage and mostly clear skies promoting radiational cooling. Historical climatology places the average September 14 low near 59°F, but current steering patterns and reduced humidity favor values several degrees below that baseline. Key uncertainties center on exact wind speeds overnight, which could limit mixing and allow deeper cooling, versus any late-arriving cloud cover that would moderate the minimum. Traders are pricing tight spreads around 52–55°F because small shifts in these variables or model consensus updates over the next 48 hours could easily move the realized low across multiple market bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 14. September?
68°F oder höher 77%
49°F oder darunter 68%
62-63°F 39%
60-61°F 37%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
49°F oder darunter
68%
50-51°F
20%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
26%
68°F oder höher
77%
68°F oder höher 77%
49°F oder darunter 68%
62-63°F 39%
60-61°F 37%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
49°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
68%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
20%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
27%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
28%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
21%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
18%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
37%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
33%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 50s°F for Chicago on September 14, driven by northwest flow advecting cooler, drier air behind a frontal passage and mostly clear skies promoting radiational cooling. Historical climatology places the average September 14 low near 59°F, but current steering patterns and reduced humidity favor values several degrees below that baseline. Key uncertainties center on exact wind speeds overnight, which could limit mixing and allow deeper cooling, versus any late-arriving cloud cover that would moderate the minimum. Traders are pricing tight spreads around 52–55°F because small shifts in these variables or model consensus updates over the next 48 hours could easily move the realized low across multiple market bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 50s°F for Chicago on September 14, driven by northwest flow advecting cooler, drier air behind a frontal passage and mostly clear skies promoting radiational cooling. Historical climatology places the average September 14 low near 59°F, but current steering patterns and reduced humidity favor values several degrees below that baseline. Key uncertainties center on exact wind speeds overnight, which could limit mixing and allow deeper cooling, versus any late-arriving cloud cover that would moderate the minimum. Traders are pricing tight spreads around 52–55°F because small shifts in these variables or model consensus updates over the next 48 hours could easily move the realized low across multiple market bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 50s°F for Chicago on September 14, driven by northwest flow advecting cooler, drier air behind a frontal passage and mostly clear skies promoting radiational cooling. Historical climatology places the average September 14 low near 59°F, but current steering patterns and reduced humidity favor values several degrees below that baseline. Key uncertainties center on exact wind speeds overnight, which could limit mixing and allow deeper cooling, versus any late-arriving cloud cover that would moderate the minimum. Traders are pricing tight spreads around 52–55°F because small shifts in these variables or model consensus updates over the next 48 hours could easily move the realized low across multiple market bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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