Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and other runs positions a high of 25–26°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 12, supported by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak near 25°C under clear to mostly clear conditions, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September but slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 22°C. Minimal precipitation risk and modest model spread reinforce trader focus on these values, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France or equivalent station readings. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 12. September?
25°C 49%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
27°C 4%
$13,787 Vol.
$13,787 Vol.
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
24%
25°C
49%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
27°C 4%
$13,787 Vol.
$13,787 Vol.
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
24%
25°C
49%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and other runs positions a high of 25–26°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 12, supported by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak near 25°C under clear to mostly clear conditions, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September but slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 22°C. Minimal precipitation risk and modest model spread reinforce trader focus on these values, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France or equivalent station readings. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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