Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 12 under stable high pressure, with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling but limit extreme drops, placing the forecast just above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (12–14°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing that affect how far temperatures fall before sunrise. With the event only two days away, ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 12–14°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 12. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 12. September?
12°C 38%
13°C 35%
15°C 25%
11°C 24%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
8°C oder weniger
3%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
24%
12°C
30%
13°C
35%
14°C
8%
15°C
25%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C oder höher
3%
12°C 38%
13°C 35%
15°C 25%
11°C 24%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
8°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
3%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$92 Vol.
30%
13°C
$431 Vol.
35%
14°C
$235 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 12 under stable high pressure, with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling but limit extreme drops, placing the forecast just above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (12–14°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing that affect how far temperatures fall before sunrise. With the event only two days away, ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 12–14°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$759Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 12 under stable high pressure, with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling but limit extreme drops, placing the forecast just above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (12–14°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing that affect how far temperatures fall before sunrise. With the event only two days away, ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 12–14°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$759Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 12 under stable high pressure, with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling but limit extreme drops, placing the forecast just above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (12–14°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing that affect how far temperatures fall before sunrise. With the event only two days away, ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 12–14°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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