Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daily maximum temperature in the low to mid-90s for Houston on September 12, driven by southeasterly flow off the Gulf bringing elevated moisture and instability. Afternoon convective development, with 40-50% storm chances, is expected to cap peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while heat indices climb above 100°F under partly sunny skies. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 91-93°F absent strong high pressure or tropical influences. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus on 91-93°F maxima and the potential for isolated stronger storms or clearer breaks to push readings slightly higher or lower, with fresh model runs and local observations likely to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 12. September?
92-93°F 36%
90-91°F 26%
94-95°F 25%
86-87°F 24%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
81°F oder darunter
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
7%
100°F oder höher
7%
92-93°F 36%
90-91°F 26%
94-95°F 25%
86-87°F 24%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
81°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
24%
88-89°F
$140 Vol.
15%
90-91°F
$60 Vol.
26%
92-93°F
$202 Vol.
36%
94-95°F
$193 Vol.
25%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
13%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
7%
100°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daily maximum temperature in the low to mid-90s for Houston on September 12, driven by southeasterly flow off the Gulf bringing elevated moisture and instability. Afternoon convective development, with 40-50% storm chances, is expected to cap peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while heat indices climb above 100°F under partly sunny skies. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 91-93°F absent strong high pressure or tropical influences. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus on 91-93°F maxima and the potential for isolated stronger storms or clearer breaks to push readings slightly higher or lower, with fresh model runs and local observations likely to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$595Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daily maximum temperature in the low to mid-90s for Houston on September 12, driven by southeasterly flow off the Gulf bringing elevated moisture and instability. Afternoon convective development, with 40-50% storm chances, is expected to cap peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while heat indices climb above 100°F under partly sunny skies. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 91-93°F absent strong high pressure or tropical influences. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus on 91-93°F maxima and the potential for isolated stronger storms or clearer breaks to push readings slightly higher or lower, with fresh model runs and local observations likely to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$595Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daily maximum temperature in the low to mid-90s for Houston on September 12, driven by southeasterly flow off the Gulf bringing elevated moisture and instability. Afternoon convective development, with 40-50% storm chances, is expected to cap peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while heat indices climb above 100°F under partly sunny skies. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 91-93°F absent strong high pressure or tropical influences. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus on 91-93°F maxima and the potential for isolated stronger storms or clearer breaks to push readings slightly higher or lower, with fresh model runs and local observations likely to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen