Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS guidance referenced across multiple forecasts, indicate Shanghai will see a daily high near 28–29°C on September 10 under light northerly to northeasterly winds and a chance of light rain or showers. These conditions, typical for early September in the region, favor modest daytime warming moderated by cloud cover and precipitation, keeping peaks below the seasonal tendency for occasional 30°C+ readings. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant warm advection, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (44.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%), while lower odds on 27°C or 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 10. September?
28°C 47%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 5%
NEU
$28,512 Vol.
NEU
$28,512 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
25°C oder weniger
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
21%
28°C
47%
29°C
29%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 5%
NEU
$28,512 Vol.
NEU
$28,512 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
25°C oder weniger
$532 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,438 Vol.
3%
27°C
$8,470 Vol.
21%
28°C
$3,833 Vol.
47%
29°C
$7,340 Vol.
29%
30°C
$2,524 Vol.
5%
31°C
$605 Vol.
1%
32°C
$623 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$857 Vol.
<1%
35°C oder höher
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS guidance referenced across multiple forecasts, indicate Shanghai will see a daily high near 28–29°C on September 10 under light northerly to northeasterly winds and a chance of light rain or showers. These conditions, typical for early September in the region, favor modest daytime warming moderated by cloud cover and precipitation, keeping peaks below the seasonal tendency for occasional 30°C+ readings. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant warm advection, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (44.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%), while lower odds on 27°C or 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$28,512Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS guidance referenced across multiple forecasts, indicate Shanghai will see a daily high near 28–29°C on September 10 under light northerly to northeasterly winds and a chance of light rain or showers. These conditions, typical for early September in the region, favor modest daytime warming moderated by cloud cover and precipitation, keeping peaks below the seasonal tendency for occasional 30°C+ readings. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant warm advection, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (44.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%), while lower odds on 27°C or 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,512Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS guidance referenced across multiple forecasts, indicate Shanghai will see a daily high near 28–29°C on September 10 under light northerly to northeasterly winds and a chance of light rain or showers. These conditions, typical for early September in the region, favor modest daytime warming moderated by cloud cover and precipitation, keeping peaks below the seasonal tendency for occasional 30°C+ readings. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant warm advection, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (44.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%), while lower odds on 27°C or 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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