Traders have converged on a 102-103°F outcome for Austin’s highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from regional weather networks showing a daily maximum of 102°F under hot, humid conditions with southerly flow. This aligns with late-summer patterns where high pressure and downslope warming frequently push Central Texas into the low 100s, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Official station reports and model-verified observations provide the resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once quality-controlled data are finalized. Only an unusually large discrepancy between primary reporting sites or a post-analysis correction would alter the bin, an outcome historical records show occurs infrequently for well-monitored urban locations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 11. September?
102-103°F 100.0%
87°F oder darunter <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,819 Vol.
$30,819 Vol.
87°F oder darunter
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Ja
104-105°F
Nein
106°F oder höher
Nein
102-103°F 100.0%
87°F oder darunter <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,819 Vol.
$30,819 Vol.
87°F oder darunter
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Ja
104-105°F
Nein
106°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have converged on a 102-103°F outcome for Austin’s highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from regional weather networks showing a daily maximum of 102°F under hot, humid conditions with southerly flow. This aligns with late-summer patterns where high pressure and downslope warming frequently push Central Texas into the low 100s, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Official station reports and model-verified observations provide the resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once quality-controlled data are finalized. Only an unusually large discrepancy between primary reporting sites or a post-analysis correction would alter the bin, an outcome historical records show occurs infrequently for well-monitored urban locations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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