Forecast models from multiple agencies currently point to a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 25–27°C, with trader consensus clustered there due to expected partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Persistent moisture from regional circulation patterns, combined with the Sichuan Basin's topography that traps humidity and clouds, is moderating peak values below late-summer norms. Subtle differences among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus continued overcast conditions, which official guidance from Chinese meteorological services will clarify in updated runs over the next 48 hours. Historical September maxima in the area average near 26°C under similar setups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 14. September?
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 15%
22°C oder niedriger
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
15%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31 °C
3%
32°C oder höher
3%
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 15%
22°C oder niedriger
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
15%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31 °C
3%
32°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple agencies currently point to a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 25–27°C, with trader consensus clustered there due to expected partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Persistent moisture from regional circulation patterns, combined with the Sichuan Basin's topography that traps humidity and clouds, is moderating peak values below late-summer norms. Subtle differences among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus continued overcast conditions, which official guidance from Chinese meteorological services will clarify in updated runs over the next 48 hours. Historical September maxima in the area average near 26°C under similar setups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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