Recent forecasts for Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on September 14 amid the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains high humidity, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance highlights continued monsoon-driven instability over Metro Manila, with isolated thunderstorms possible, while two distant low-pressure areas pose limited direct influence. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows modest warming potential under partly cloudy conditions but notes that earlier or heavier rainfall could limit maxima to 31°C or below. Trader sentiment clusters on 31–33°C outcomes because these align with typical September climatology and current ensemble guidance, with small shifts in convective timing or insolation likely determining the exact recorded high. Updated PAGASA and numerical model briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 14. September?
32°C 36%
33°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder weniger
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
26%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C oder höher
2%
32°C 36%
33°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$15 Vol.
5%
30°C
$25 Vol.
6%
31°C
$77 Vol.
22%
32°C
$359 Vol.
36%
33°C
$70 Vol.
26%
34°C
$10 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on September 14 amid the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains high humidity, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance highlights continued monsoon-driven instability over Metro Manila, with isolated thunderstorms possible, while two distant low-pressure areas pose limited direct influence. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows modest warming potential under partly cloudy conditions but notes that earlier or heavier rainfall could limit maxima to 31°C or below. Trader sentiment clusters on 31–33°C outcomes because these align with typical September climatology and current ensemble guidance, with small shifts in convective timing or insolation likely determining the exact recorded high. Updated PAGASA and numerical model briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$555Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on September 14 amid the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains high humidity, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance highlights continued monsoon-driven instability over Metro Manila, with isolated thunderstorms possible, while two distant low-pressure areas pose limited direct influence. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows modest warming potential under partly cloudy conditions but notes that earlier or heavier rainfall could limit maxima to 31°C or below. Trader sentiment clusters on 31–33°C outcomes because these align with typical September climatology and current ensemble guidance, with small shifts in convective timing or insolation likely determining the exact recorded high. Updated PAGASA and numerical model briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$555Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on September 14 amid the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains high humidity, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance highlights continued monsoon-driven instability over Metro Manila, with isolated thunderstorms possible, while two distant low-pressure areas pose limited direct influence. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows modest warming potential under partly cloudy conditions but notes that earlier or heavier rainfall could limit maxima to 31°C or below. Trader sentiment clusters on 31–33°C outcomes because these align with typical September climatology and current ensemble guidance, with small shifts in convective timing or insolation likely determining the exact recorded high. Updated PAGASA and numerical model briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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