Traders see the tightest implied probabilities clustered around 68–71°F for Los Angeles’s lowest temperature on September 14, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty in the National Weather Service and NOAA model suite. Primary drivers include variable marine-layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific, which can suppress overnight lows by several degrees, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow greater radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, keeping outcomes from 62–73°F within reach depending on the exact timing of any coastal stratus. Historical September climatology for downtown Los Angeles centers near 65–68°F, so current consensus aligns with near-normal conditions while acknowledging that small shifts in the marine inversion or a late onshore push could push readings lower or higher before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 14. September?
78°F oder höher 90%
62-63°F 39%
64-65°F 39%
72-73°F 39%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
59°F oder darunter
11%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
13%
78°F oder höher
90%
78°F oder höher 90%
62-63°F 39%
64-65°F 39%
72-73°F 39%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
59°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
11%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
13%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
39%
66-67°F
$49 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$117 Vol.
34%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
13%
78°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tightest implied probabilities clustered around 68–71°F for Los Angeles’s lowest temperature on September 14, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty in the National Weather Service and NOAA model suite. Primary drivers include variable marine-layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific, which can suppress overnight lows by several degrees, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow greater radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, keeping outcomes from 62–73°F within reach depending on the exact timing of any coastal stratus. Historical September climatology for downtown Los Angeles centers near 65–68°F, so current consensus aligns with near-normal conditions while acknowledging that small shifts in the marine inversion or a late onshore push could push readings lower or higher before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$166Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tightest implied probabilities clustered around 68–71°F for Los Angeles’s lowest temperature on September 14, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty in the National Weather Service and NOAA model suite. Primary drivers include variable marine-layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific, which can suppress overnight lows by several degrees, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow greater radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, keeping outcomes from 62–73°F within reach depending on the exact timing of any coastal stratus. Historical September climatology for downtown Los Angeles centers near 65–68°F, so current consensus aligns with near-normal conditions while acknowledging that small shifts in the marine inversion or a late onshore push could push readings lower or higher before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$166Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the tightest implied probabilities clustered around 68–71°F for Los Angeles’s lowest temperature on September 14, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty in the National Weather Service and NOAA model suite. Primary drivers include variable marine-layer depth and onshore flow from the Pacific, which can suppress overnight lows by several degrees, versus clearer skies and lighter winds that allow greater radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, keeping outcomes from 62–73°F within reach depending on the exact timing of any coastal stratus. Historical September climatology for downtown Los Angeles centers near 65–68°F, so current consensus aligns with near-normal conditions while acknowledging that small shifts in the marine inversion or a late onshore push could push readings lower or higher before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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