Marine layer strengthening overnight has positioned Los Angeles for a daily minimum temperature likely in the upper 60s, with National Weather Service and GFS model guidance showing light southwesterly winds, high humidity near 85-95%, and patchy fog limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but carries uncertainty from model spread on marine layer depth, keeping the 59°F-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability as traders weigh potential for stronger onshore flow or localized station readings versus the 70-71°F bin at 33%. Recent observations from LAX and downtown stations confirm current readings near 69°F, with no major shifts expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 13. September?
59°F oder niedriger 96%
62-63°F 93%
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 48%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
59°F oder niedriger
96%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
93%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F oder höher
<1%
59°F oder niedriger 96%
62-63°F 93%
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 48%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
59°F oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
96%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
93%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
48%
66-67°F
$41 Vol.
48%
68-69°F
$76 Vol.
48%
70-71°F
$371 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$75 Vol.
<1%
78°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strengthening overnight has positioned Los Angeles for a daily minimum temperature likely in the upper 60s, with National Weather Service and GFS model guidance showing light southwesterly winds, high humidity near 85-95%, and patchy fog limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but carries uncertainty from model spread on marine layer depth, keeping the 59°F-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability as traders weigh potential for stronger onshore flow or localized station readings versus the 70-71°F bin at 33%. Recent observations from LAX and downtown stations confirm current readings near 69°F, with no major shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$588Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strengthening overnight has positioned Los Angeles for a daily minimum temperature likely in the upper 60s, with National Weather Service and GFS model guidance showing light southwesterly winds, high humidity near 85-95%, and patchy fog limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but carries uncertainty from model spread on marine layer depth, keeping the 59°F-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability as traders weigh potential for stronger onshore flow or localized station readings versus the 70-71°F bin at 33%. Recent observations from LAX and downtown stations confirm current readings near 69°F, with no major shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$588Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer strengthening overnight has positioned Los Angeles for a daily minimum temperature likely in the upper 60s, with National Weather Service and GFS model guidance showing light southwesterly winds, high humidity near 85-95%, and patchy fog limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but carries uncertainty from model spread on marine layer depth, keeping the 59°F-or-below outcome at 48.5% implied probability as traders weigh potential for stronger onshore flow or localized station readings versus the 70-71°F bin at 33%. Recent observations from LAX and downtown stations confirm current readings near 69°F, with no major shifts expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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