Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 22–24°C in London on September 13 under a warm, humid southwesterly flow, with morning rain and lingering cloud cover limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks. These conditions, including scattered showers and modest wind speeds, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22°C and 23°C, as traders weigh the cooling effect of precipitation against above-climatological warmth. Official resolution will hinge on the highest verified reading from London-area stations, with final forecast updates expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 13. September?
23°C 40%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
21°C 9.0%
$11,567 Vol.
$11,567 Vol.
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
32%
23°C
40%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
21°C 9.0%
$11,567 Vol.
$11,567 Vol.
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
32%
23°C
40%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 22–24°C in London on September 13 under a warm, humid southwesterly flow, with morning rain and lingering cloud cover limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks. These conditions, including scattered showers and modest wind speeds, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22°C and 23°C, as traders weigh the cooling effect of precipitation against above-climatological warmth. Official resolution will hinge on the highest verified reading from London-area stations, with final forecast updates expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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