Latest National Weather Service-aligned forecasts project a high of 91–94°F for Houston on September 14, 2026, with the 92–93°F bin holding the strongest market-implied odds at 45%. Southerly flow off the Gulf is advecting warm, humid air under mostly sunny skies, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms—carrying 40% probability—may limit peak insolation and cap temperatures near the mid-90s. This aligns with recent observed highs of 93–95°F and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89.6°F. Model consensus remains tight through the short-range window, though any shift in convective timing or steering winds could adjust the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 14. September?
92-93°F 45%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 35%
96–97 °F 22%
81°F oder weniger
7%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
35%
96–97 °F
22%
98-99°F
10%
100°F oder höher
13%
92-93°F 45%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 35%
96–97 °F 22%
81°F oder weniger
7%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
35%
96–97 °F
22%
98-99°F
10%
100°F oder höher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service-aligned forecasts project a high of 91–94°F for Houston on September 14, 2026, with the 92–93°F bin holding the strongest market-implied odds at 45%. Southerly flow off the Gulf is advecting warm, humid air under mostly sunny skies, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms—carrying 40% probability—may limit peak insolation and cap temperatures near the mid-90s. This aligns with recent observed highs of 93–95°F and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89.6°F. Model consensus remains tight through the short-range window, though any shift in convective timing or steering winds could adjust the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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