Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daytime heating under light southerly or easterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Coastal location and sea-breeze effects typically cap maxima near or slightly above late-summer climatology of 25–28 °C, aligning with current guidance of 26–27 °C. Trader emphasis on 29–31 °C outcomes likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-season warm advection signals, while lower probabilities for 32 °C+ reflect the low historical frequency of such extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range model runs and official CMA guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 14. September?
30°C 46%
31°C 26%
29°C 21%
32°C 12%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
21%
30°C
46%
31°C
20%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C oder höher
3%
30°C 46%
31°C 26%
29°C 21%
32°C 12%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$33 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$43 Vol.
46%
31°C
$283 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daytime heating under light southerly or easterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Coastal location and sea-breeze effects typically cap maxima near or slightly above late-summer climatology of 25–28 °C, aligning with current guidance of 26–27 °C. Trader emphasis on 29–31 °C outcomes likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-season warm advection signals, while lower probabilities for 32 °C+ reflect the low historical frequency of such extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range model runs and official CMA guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$303Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daytime heating under light southerly or easterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Coastal location and sea-breeze effects typically cap maxima near or slightly above late-summer climatology of 25–28 °C, aligning with current guidance of 26–27 °C. Trader emphasis on 29–31 °C outcomes likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-season warm advection signals, while lower probabilities for 32 °C+ reflect the low historical frequency of such extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range model runs and official CMA guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$303Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daytime heating under light southerly or easterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Coastal location and sea-breeze effects typically cap maxima near or slightly above late-summer climatology of 25–28 °C, aligning with current guidance of 26–27 °C. Trader emphasis on 29–31 °C outcomes likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-season warm advection signals, while lower probabilities for 32 °C+ reflect the low historical frequency of such extremes this late in the season. Updated short-range model runs and official CMA guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen