Current ensemble forecasts for Qingdao on September 13 point to overnight lows in the low 20s°C, with model consensus favoring mild conditions under persistent cloud cover and light southerly to southwesterly flow. Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea limits radiative cooling, while recent regional patterns show warmer-than-climatological September nights due to limited northerly intrusions. Trader positioning remains balanced because small shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or timing of any frontal passage could push the minimum several degrees lower or sustain it near 23–25°C. Official resolution will depend on the precise station minimum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities, where even modest forecast adjustments near the 19–22°C range carry outsized market impact given the tight implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 13. September?
26°C oder höher 91%
16°C oder weniger 69%
17°C 39%
21°C 39%
16°C oder weniger
69%
17°C
39%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
21%
21°C
39%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
91%
26°C oder höher 91%
16°C oder weniger 69%
17°C 39%
21°C 39%
16°C oder weniger
69%
17°C
39%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
21%
21°C
39%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Qingdao on September 13 point to overnight lows in the low 20s°C, with model consensus favoring mild conditions under persistent cloud cover and light southerly to southwesterly flow. Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea limits radiative cooling, while recent regional patterns show warmer-than-climatological September nights due to limited northerly intrusions. Trader positioning remains balanced because small shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or timing of any frontal passage could push the minimum several degrees lower or sustain it near 23–25°C. Official resolution will depend on the precise station minimum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities, where even modest forecast adjustments near the 19–22°C range carry outsized market impact given the tight implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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