Trader sentiment centers on forecasts for Cape Town's September 11 peak, with 23°C holding the edge at 42% implied probability amid closely bunched outcomes. Springtime conditions feature moderate Atlantic influence from the Benguela Current, southeasterly winds that can suppress or enhance surface heating, and variable cloud cover tied to a passing high-pressure system. Official model runs show afternoon maxima clustering near 21–23°C, with minor disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation versus wind gusts. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but today's stronger pressure gradient introduces uncertainty in whether readings reach 24°C or stall at 22°C. Updated observations through the afternoon and evening will refine the final recorded high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 11. September?
24°C 44%
23°C 34%
25°C 11%
26°C 4.0%
$36,015 Vol.
$36,015 Vol.
11. Sep. 2026
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
34%
24°C
44%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 34%
25°C 11%
26°C 4.0%
$36,015 Vol.
$36,015 Vol.
11. Sep. 2026
17°C oder niedriger
$1,775 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$838 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,603 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$6,804 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,773 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,847 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,254 Vol.
34%
24°C
$2,411 Vol.
44%
25°C
$1,761 Vol.
11%
26°C
$1,022 Vol.
4%
27°C oder höher
$5,927 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecasts for Cape Town's September 11 peak, with 23°C holding the edge at 42% implied probability amid closely bunched outcomes. Springtime conditions feature moderate Atlantic influence from the Benguela Current, southeasterly winds that can suppress or enhance surface heating, and variable cloud cover tied to a passing high-pressure system. Official model runs show afternoon maxima clustering near 21–23°C, with minor disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation versus wind gusts. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but today's stronger pressure gradient introduces uncertainty in whether readings reach 24°C or stall at 22°C. Updated observations through the afternoon and evening will refine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$36,015Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecasts for Cape Town's September 11 peak, with 23°C holding the edge at 42% implied probability amid closely bunched outcomes. Springtime conditions feature moderate Atlantic influence from the Benguela Current, southeasterly winds that can suppress or enhance surface heating, and variable cloud cover tied to a passing high-pressure system. Official model runs show afternoon maxima clustering near 21–23°C, with minor disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation versus wind gusts. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but today's stronger pressure gradient introduces uncertainty in whether readings reach 24°C or stall at 22°C. Updated observations through the afternoon and evening will refine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36,015Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on forecasts for Cape Town's September 11 peak, with 23°C holding the edge at 42% implied probability amid closely bunched outcomes. Springtime conditions feature moderate Atlantic influence from the Benguela Current, southeasterly winds that can suppress or enhance surface heating, and variable cloud cover tied to a passing high-pressure system. Official model runs show afternoon maxima clustering near 21–23°C, with minor disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation versus wind gusts. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but today's stronger pressure gradient introduces uncertainty in whether readings reach 24°C or stall at 22°C. Updated observations through the afternoon and evening will refine the final recorded high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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