**Forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 11 under a high-pressure ridge with light northwest winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk.** These conditions favor modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress highs. Recent cooling from prior days has positioned the market-implied odds—led by 25°C at 44.5% and 26°C at 29.5%—as trader consensus reflecting this narrow range, with lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C+ reflecting model spread and typical diurnal variability. Official guidance shows little change expected overnight into the 11th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 11. September?
25°C 45%
26°C 26%
24°C 21%
27°C 5%
$21,278 Vol.
$21,278 Vol.
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
21%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 45%
26°C 26%
24°C 21%
27°C 5%
$21,278 Vol.
$21,278 Vol.
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
21%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 11 under a high-pressure ridge with light northwest winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk.** These conditions favor modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress highs. Recent cooling from prior days has positioned the market-implied odds—led by 25°C at 44.5% and 26°C at 29.5%—as trader consensus reflecting this narrow range, with lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C+ reflecting model spread and typical diurnal variability. Official guidance shows little change expected overnight into the 11th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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