Persistent rain and a northerly wind shift from a stationary front are capping Tokyo's September 10 highs near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market's leading probabilities of 34.5 % and 25 %. Multiple forecast models show widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 18–19 °C that limit surface heating despite modest insolation. This pattern follows earlier heavy rainfall from a dissipating typhoon remnant, which cooled regional air masses and reinforced onshore flow. Traders appear to weigh JMA guidance and ensemble runs indicating little chance of clearing skies or southerly advection that could push readings to 24 °C or above. Updated model outputs and morning observations on the 9th will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 10. September?
22°C 35%
23°C 21%
21°C 13%
24°C 12%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
35%
23°C
24%
24°C
12%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
1%
22°C 35%
23°C 21%
21°C 13%
24°C 12%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$185 Vol.
2%
18°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$15 Vol.
7%
21°C
$36 Vol.
13%
22°C
$32 Vol.
35%
23°C
$6 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C oder höher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and a northerly wind shift from a stationary front are capping Tokyo's September 10 highs near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market's leading probabilities of 34.5 % and 25 %. Multiple forecast models show widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 18–19 °C that limit surface heating despite modest insolation. This pattern follows earlier heavy rainfall from a dissipating typhoon remnant, which cooled regional air masses and reinforced onshore flow. Traders appear to weigh JMA guidance and ensemble runs indicating little chance of clearing skies or southerly advection that could push readings to 24 °C or above. Updated model outputs and morning observations on the 9th will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$489Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and a northerly wind shift from a stationary front are capping Tokyo's September 10 highs near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market's leading probabilities of 34.5 % and 25 %. Multiple forecast models show widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 18–19 °C that limit surface heating despite modest insolation. This pattern follows earlier heavy rainfall from a dissipating typhoon remnant, which cooled regional air masses and reinforced onshore flow. Traders appear to weigh JMA guidance and ensemble runs indicating little chance of clearing skies or southerly advection that could push readings to 24 °C or above. Updated model outputs and morning observations on the 9th will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$489Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and a northerly wind shift from a stationary front are capping Tokyo's September 10 highs near 22–23 °C, aligning with the market's leading probabilities of 34.5 % and 25 %. Multiple forecast models show widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and dew points near 18–19 °C that limit surface heating despite modest insolation. This pattern follows earlier heavy rainfall from a dissipating typhoon remnant, which cooled regional air masses and reinforced onshore flow. Traders appear to weigh JMA guidance and ensemble runs indicating little chance of clearing skies or southerly advection that could push readings to 24 °C or above. Updated model outputs and morning observations on the 9th will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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