Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to a peak temperature of 26–27°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort. This tight clustering of market-implied odds reflects minor divergences in numerical weather prediction outputs, particularly regarding the strength of the sea breeze moderating afternoon heating along the Yellow Sea coast and slight differences in boundary-layer moisture. Clear conditions favor strong solar insolation, yet persistent northerly flow limits extreme warming compared to climatological September maxima near 26°C. Traders are closely monitoring the latest high-resolution model runs and official station observations for any last adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 8. September?
26°C 40%
27°C 37%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
$20,545 Vol.
$20,545 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
40%
27°C
37%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 40%
27°C 37%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
$20,545 Vol.
$20,545 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
40%
27°C
37%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to a peak temperature of 26–27°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort. This tight clustering of market-implied odds reflects minor divergences in numerical weather prediction outputs, particularly regarding the strength of the sea breeze moderating afternoon heating along the Yellow Sea coast and slight differences in boundary-layer moisture. Clear conditions favor strong solar insolation, yet persistent northerly flow limits extreme warming compared to climatological September maxima near 26°C. Traders are closely monitoring the latest high-resolution model runs and official station observations for any last adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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