Trader consensus reflects the current regionally contained Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, with roughly 4,665–4,686 confirmed cases and over 2,180 deaths reported as of mid-August 2026. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO rate the risk to the broader public and international travelers as low, citing Ebola’s requirement for direct contact with bodily fluids rather than airborne transmission, combined with active containment, border screening, and the absence of sustained exportation beyond affected areas. Historical patterns from prior outbreaks, including 2014–2016, further support limited global spread potential. While the WHO has declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, market-implied odds near 96% “no” align with these data; realistic shifts could occur only if surveillance gaps allow rapid international dissemination or if transmission dynamics change unexpectedly before year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% Chance
$691,708 Vol.
$691,708 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
4% Chance
$691,708 Vol.
$691,708 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the current regionally contained Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, with roughly 4,665–4,686 confirmed cases and over 2,180 deaths reported as of mid-August 2026. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO rate the risk to the broader public and international travelers as low, citing Ebola’s requirement for direct contact with bodily fluids rather than airborne transmission, combined with active containment, border screening, and the absence of sustained exportation beyond affected areas. Historical patterns from prior outbreaks, including 2014–2016, further support limited global spread potential. While the WHO has declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, market-implied odds near 96% “no” align with these data; realistic shifts could occur only if surveillance gaps allow rapid international dissemination or if transmission dynamics change unexpectedly before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volumen
$691,708Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the current regionally contained Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, with roughly 4,665–4,686 confirmed cases and over 2,180 deaths reported as of mid-August 2026. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO rate the risk to the broader public and international travelers as low, citing Ebola’s requirement for direct contact with bodily fluids rather than airborne transmission, combined with active containment, border screening, and the absence of sustained exportation beyond affected areas. Historical patterns from prior outbreaks, including 2014–2016, further support limited global spread potential. While the WHO has declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, market-implied odds near 96% “no” align with these data; realistic shifts could occur only if surveillance gaps allow rapid international dissemination or if transmission dynamics change unexpectedly before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$691,708Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the current regionally contained Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, with roughly 4,665–4,686 confirmed cases and over 2,180 deaths reported as of mid-August 2026. Official assessments from the CDC and WHO rate the risk to the broader public and international travelers as low, citing Ebola’s requirement for direct contact with bodily fluids rather than airborne transmission, combined with active containment, border screening, and the absence of sustained exportation beyond affected areas. Historical patterns from prior outbreaks, including 2014–2016, further support limited global spread potential. While the WHO has declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, market-implied odds near 96% “no” align with these data; realistic shifts could occur only if surveillance gaps allow rapid international dissemination or if transmission dynamics change unexpectedly before year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen