Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Hong Kong’s August 14 minimum reflects short-range model ensembles from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional guidance, which cluster overnight lows near the 27°C climatological average amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, yet day-to-day differences hinge on whether showers or clearer breaks develop, altering boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. The tight spread across 26–28°C outcomes underscores forecast uncertainty in wind patterns and precipitation timing within the final 48-hour window, with any strengthening onshore flow or thicker cloud decks favoring the lower end of the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. August?
28°C 35%
27°C 30%
26°C 22%
25°C 14%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
14%
26°C
22%
27°C
30%
28°C
19%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 35%
27°C 30%
26°C 22%
25°C 14%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$34 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$26 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$5 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$8 Vol.
5%
31°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Hong Kong’s August 14 minimum reflects short-range model ensembles from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional guidance, which cluster overnight lows near the 27°C climatological average amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, yet day-to-day differences hinge on whether showers or clearer breaks develop, altering boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. The tight spread across 26–28°C outcomes underscores forecast uncertainty in wind patterns and precipitation timing within the final 48-hour window, with any strengthening onshore flow or thicker cloud decks favoring the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$332Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Hong Kong’s August 14 minimum reflects short-range model ensembles from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional guidance, which cluster overnight lows near the 27°C climatological average amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, yet day-to-day differences hinge on whether showers or clearer breaks develop, altering boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. The tight spread across 26–28°C outcomes underscores forecast uncertainty in wind patterns and precipitation timing within the final 48-hour window, with any strengthening onshore flow or thicker cloud decks favoring the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$332Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Hong Kong’s August 14 minimum reflects short-range model ensembles from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional guidance, which cluster overnight lows near the 27°C climatological average amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, yet day-to-day differences hinge on whether showers or clearer breaks develop, altering boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. The tight spread across 26–28°C outcomes underscores forecast uncertainty in wind patterns and precipitation timing within the final 48-hour window, with any strengthening onshore flow or thicker cloud decks favoring the lower end of the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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