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icon for Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?

Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?

Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?

Aug. 12

Aug. 13

Aug. 14

Aug. 12

Aug. 13

Aug. 14

26°C 54%

25°C 26%

27°C 16%

28°C 6%

Polymarket
NEU

26°C 54%

25°C 26%

27°C 16%

28°C 6%

Polymarket
NEU

23°C oder darunter

$12 Vol.

2%

24°C

$22 Vol.

4%

25°C

$52 Vol.

26%

26°C

$127 Vol.

54%

27°C

$255 Vol.

16%

28°C

$1 Vol.

6%

29°C

$10 Vol.

3%

30°C

$33 Vol.

1%

31°C

$17 Vol.

4%

32°C

$255 Vol.

2%

33°C oder höher

$30 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, center on a maximum of 26–27°C, driven by a moderating air mass following warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models (including ECMWF ensembles) indicates a daytime high near 26°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels around 60–70%. This aligns with August climatology of 27–28°C averages while reflecting a short-term cooling signal that has pulled probabilities toward the 26°C outcome at 54% market-implied odds. Model consensus remains tight, with limited spread suggesting low likelihood of extremes above 28°C or below 25°C absent unexpected frontal shifts. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine any adjustments from evolving sea-surface temperatures or regional pressure patterns.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$813
Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, center on a maximum of 26–27°C, driven by a moderating air mass following warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models (including ECMWF ensembles) indicates a daytime high near 26°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels around 60–70%. This aligns with August climatology of 27–28°C averages while reflecting a short-term cooling signal that has pulled probabilities toward the 26°C outcome at 54% market-implied odds. Model consensus remains tight, with limited spread suggesting low likelihood of extremes above 28°C or below 25°C absent unexpected frontal shifts. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine any adjustments from evolving sea-surface temperatures or regional pressure patterns.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$813
Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 12?

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28%
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „26°C" mit 54%, gefolgt von „25°C" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 54¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 12, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?" ist „26°C" mit 54%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „25°C" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 14. August?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.