Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the BBC and national meteorological services points to a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 14, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest diurnal warming as a ridge of high pressure promotes subsidence and clear skies, enhancing solar insolation while limiting cloud cover and convective mixing. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes hinge on forecast nuances in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction influencing warm-air advection from the south, and any late-day boundary-layer decoupling. Historical mid-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic patterns support the elevated trader-implied range without significant model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 14. August?
26°C 41%
27°C 35%
28°C 12%
25°C 8%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
41%
27°C
35%
28°C
12%
29°C
6%
30°C oder höher
4%
26°C 41%
27°C 35%
28°C 12%
25°C 8%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$1,716 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$551 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$241 Vol.
2%
24°C
$49 Vol.
6%
25°C
$102 Vol.
8%
26°C
$65 Vol.
41%
27°C
$28 Vol.
35%
28°C
$17 Vol.
12%
29°C
$36 Vol.
6%
30°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the BBC and national meteorological services points to a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 14, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest diurnal warming as a ridge of high pressure promotes subsidence and clear skies, enhancing solar insolation while limiting cloud cover and convective mixing. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes hinge on forecast nuances in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction influencing warm-air advection from the south, and any late-day boundary-layer decoupling. Historical mid-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic patterns support the elevated trader-implied range without significant model spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$2,988Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the BBC and national meteorological services points to a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 14, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest diurnal warming as a ridge of high pressure promotes subsidence and clear skies, enhancing solar insolation while limiting cloud cover and convective mixing. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes hinge on forecast nuances in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction influencing warm-air advection from the south, and any late-day boundary-layer decoupling. Historical mid-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic patterns support the elevated trader-implied range without significant model spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,988Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the BBC and national meteorological services points to a daytime high of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 14, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest diurnal warming as a ridge of high pressure promotes subsidence and clear skies, enhancing solar insolation while limiting cloud cover and convective mixing. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C outcomes hinge on forecast nuances in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction influencing warm-air advection from the south, and any late-day boundary-layer decoupling. Historical mid-August averages near 23–25°C provide context, but current stable anticyclonic patterns support the elevated trader-implied range without significant model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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