A persistent heat wave across northern France has elevated minimum temperatures in Paris ahead of August 14, with official forecasts indicating overnight lows of 20–23°C under a strong high-pressure system that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and ECMWF shows little overnight relief, pushing trader consensus toward the 21–23°C outcomes as the most probable range for the daily low. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current atmospheric conditions—warm advection and high dew points—make sub-20°C readings unlikely without a rapid frontal passage. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 14. August?
22°C 27%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C oder weniger 15%
20°C oder weniger
15%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
20%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 27%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C oder weniger 15%
20°C oder weniger
15%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
20%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent heat wave across northern France has elevated minimum temperatures in Paris ahead of August 14, with official forecasts indicating overnight lows of 20–23°C under a strong high-pressure system that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources including Météo-France and ECMWF shows little overnight relief, pushing trader consensus toward the 21–23°C outcomes as the most probable range for the daily low. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current atmospheric conditions—warm advection and high dew points—make sub-20°C readings unlikely without a rapid frontal passage. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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