Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, with the closely matched 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes reflecting genuine ensemble spread. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep readings below seasonal averages near 22 °C. Small variations in frontal timing, convective development, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight clustering around these values. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will provide further refinement ahead of the observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 14. August?
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 12%
13°C oder darunter
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
2%
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 12%
13°C oder darunter
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18 °C, with the closely matched 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes reflecting genuine ensemble spread. Moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing strong warm advection keep readings below seasonal averages near 22 °C. Small variations in frontal timing, convective development, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, sustaining tight clustering around these values. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles will provide further refinement ahead of the observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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