Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 12 will likely reach 17–18 °C, driven by a passing cold front and increased Atlantic moisture that limits daytime heating and promotes cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with potential for localized showers further suppressing highs while steering patterns keep warmer continental air to the south. Historical August baselines near 22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the seasonal range. Updated model outputs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 12. August?
17°C 35%
18°C 33%
16°C 16%
19°C 14%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
35%
18°C
33%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
3%
17°C 35%
18°C 33%
16°C 16%
19°C 14%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
12°C or below
$13 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12 Vol.
7%
14°C
$12 Vol.
7%
15°C
$15 Vol.
7%
16°C
$187 Vol.
16%
17°C
$44 Vol.
35%
18°C
$21 Vol.
33%
19°C
$90 Vol.
14%
20°C
$17 Vol.
4%
21°C
$39 Vol.
6%
22°C or higher
$17 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 12 will likely reach 17–18 °C, driven by a passing cold front and increased Atlantic moisture that limits daytime heating and promotes cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with potential for localized showers further suppressing highs while steering patterns keep warmer continental air to the south. Historical August baselines near 22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the seasonal range. Updated model outputs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$468Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 12 will likely reach 17–18 °C, driven by a passing cold front and increased Atlantic moisture that limits daytime heating and promotes cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with potential for localized showers further suppressing highs while steering patterns keep warmer continental air to the south. Historical August baselines near 22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the seasonal range. Updated model outputs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$468Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 12 will likely reach 17–18 °C, driven by a passing cold front and increased Atlantic moisture that limits daytime heating and promotes cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with potential for localized showers further suppressing highs while steering patterns keep warmer continental air to the south. Historical August baselines near 22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the seasonal range. Updated model outputs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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