Recent forecast models from agencies monitoring the South Atlantic point to a modest warming influence from a high-pressure ridge reducing cloud cover and moderating the typical Benguela Current cooling over Cape Town on August 12, pushing maximum readings toward 22–23°C. These conditions contrast with the city’s August climatological average high near 18°C and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around those two bins, with traders weighing model spread on exact wind direction and timing of any passing trough. Official observations at Cape Town International Airport will determine resolution, and the next 48-hour model updates from regional meteorological services remain the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 12. August?
23°C 29%
22°C 27%
21°C 16%
24°C 11%
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
16%
22°C
27%
23°C
29%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C oder höher
2%
23°C 29%
22°C 27%
21°C 16%
24°C 11%
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
16%
22°C
27%
23°C
29%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C oder höher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies monitoring the South Atlantic point to a modest warming influence from a high-pressure ridge reducing cloud cover and moderating the typical Benguela Current cooling over Cape Town on August 12, pushing maximum readings toward 22–23°C. These conditions contrast with the city’s August climatological average high near 18°C and explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around those two bins, with traders weighing model spread on exact wind direction and timing of any passing trough. Official observations at Cape Town International Airport will determine resolution, and the next 48-hour model updates from regional meteorological services remain the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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