A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to bring cooler, wetter, and windier conditions to Cape Town over the August 8–11 weekend, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward a 15°C peak on the 10th. Official South African Weather Service guidance highlights the front’s arrival with 60–80% chance of showers and below-average highs, shifting expectations several degrees below the typical 17°C August maximum. Ensemble model consensus points to limited daytime warming amid persistent onshore flow and cloud cover, while historical analogs for similar winter fronts show highs clustering near 14–16°C. Traders are monitoring updated SAWS briefings and local station observations through the weekend for any late intensification or timing shifts that could nudge probabilities toward 14°C or 16°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 10. August?
15°C 53%
16°C 25%
14°C 17%
17°C 5%
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
17%
15°C
53%
16°C
25%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 53%
16°C 25%
14°C 17%
17°C 5%
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
17%
15°C
53%
16°C
25%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to bring cooler, wetter, and windier conditions to Cape Town over the August 8–11 weekend, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward a 15°C peak on the 10th. Official South African Weather Service guidance highlights the front’s arrival with 60–80% chance of showers and below-average highs, shifting expectations several degrees below the typical 17°C August maximum. Ensemble model consensus points to limited daytime warming amid persistent onshore flow and cloud cover, while historical analogs for similar winter fronts show highs clustering near 14–16°C. Traders are monitoring updated SAWS briefings and local station observations through the weekend for any late intensification or timing shifts that could nudge probabilities toward 14°C or 16°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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