Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. August?
30°C 100.0%
24°C oder darunter <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,036 Vol.
$63,036 Vol.
10. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Ja
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
30°C 100.0%
24°C oder darunter <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,036 Vol.
$63,036 Vol.
10. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$1,900 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$2,057 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$3,010 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$4,597 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$5,464 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$9,514 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$13,430 Vol.
Ja
31°C
$13,027 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$6,281 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$2,606 Vol.
Nein
34°C oder höher
$1,151 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$63,036Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,036Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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