**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 10 centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting subtropical summer climatology and short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).** Typical August nighttime lows hover near 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with recent days recording minima of 26–27°C; the HKO’s current guidance for August 10 shows a forecast minimum near 28°C within a 28–32°C daily range. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while no imminent monsoon surge or tropical cyclone is expected to produce significant cooling. Model consensus and observational trends therefore concentrate implied probability on 29°C (55%) and 28°C (23%), with 30°C (18%) as the next likely bucket; probabilities fall sharply below 27°C or above 31°C absent a major forecast shift before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. August?
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
32°C 15%
30°C 14%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C
29%
29°C
55%
30°C
14%
31°C
8%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
1%
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
32°C 15%
30°C 14%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$27 Vol.
3%
25°C
$27 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$23 Vol.
55%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$24 Vol.
8%
32°C
$27 Vol.
15%
33°C
$22 Vol.
1%
34°C oder höher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 10 centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting subtropical summer climatology and short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).** Typical August nighttime lows hover near 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with recent days recording minima of 26–27°C; the HKO’s current guidance for August 10 shows a forecast minimum near 28°C within a 28–32°C daily range.
Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while no imminent monsoon surge or tropical cyclone is expected to produce significant cooling. Model consensus and observational trends therefore concentrate implied probability on 29°C (55%) and 28°C (23%), with 30°C (18%) as the next likely bucket; probabilities fall sharply below 27°C or above 31°C absent a major forecast shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$171Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 10 centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting subtropical summer climatology and short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).** Typical August nighttime lows hover near 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with recent days recording minima of 26–27°C; the HKO’s current guidance for August 10 shows a forecast minimum near 28°C within a 28–32°C daily range.
Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while no imminent monsoon surge or tropical cyclone is expected to produce significant cooling. Model consensus and observational trends therefore concentrate implied probability on 29°C (55%) and 28°C (23%), with 30°C (18%) as the next likely bucket; probabilities fall sharply below 27°C or above 31°C absent a major forecast shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$171Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 10 centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting subtropical summer climatology and short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).** Typical August nighttime lows hover near 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with recent days recording minima of 26–27°C; the HKO’s current guidance for August 10 shows a forecast minimum near 28°C within a 28–32°C daily range. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while no imminent monsoon surge or tropical cyclone is expected to produce significant cooling. Model consensus and observational trends therefore concentrate implied probability on 29°C (55%) and 28°C (23%), with 30°C (18%) as the next likely bucket; probabilities fall sharply below 27°C or above 31°C absent a major forecast shift before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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