Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 23 maximum temperature centers on uncertainty in easterly monsoon strength and its impact on daytime heating, with market odds clustered around 30–32 °C reflecting modest model spread. The Hong Kong Observatory currently projects 27–31 °C under east force-4 winds, sunny periods, and isolated showers that could limit peak insolation. Stronger monsoon flow or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end near 30 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would support 32 °C or briefly higher readings typical of late-September climatology. Urban heat-island effects and sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C provide a stable baseline, but short-term convective timing remains the key variable ahead of the next official forecast updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 23. September?
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
29°C 18%
24°C oder darunter
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
18%
30°C
22%
31°C
30%
32°C
25%
33°C
10%
34°C oder höher
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
29°C 18%
24°C oder darunter
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
18%
30°C
22%
31°C
30%
32°C
25%
33°C
10%
34°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 23 maximum temperature centers on uncertainty in easterly monsoon strength and its impact on daytime heating, with market odds clustered around 30–32 °C reflecting modest model spread. The Hong Kong Observatory currently projects 27–31 °C under east force-4 winds, sunny periods, and isolated showers that could limit peak insolation. Stronger monsoon flow or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end near 30 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would support 32 °C or briefly higher readings typical of late-September climatology. Urban heat-island effects and sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C provide a stable baseline, but short-term convective timing remains the key variable ahead of the next official forecast updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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