Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent heavy rain and thick cloud cover over Tokyo on September 21, driven by a strong low-pressure system and northerly flow, which will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 25–26°C. These conditions—high humidity, reduced insolation, and evaporative cooling from rainfall—create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with slight differences in model timing of heaviest precipitation or wind shifts determining whether the peak reaches 26°C or stays at 24–25°C. Historical September baselines for Tokyo show similar frontal systems often produce highs 2–4°C below clear-sky potential. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. September?
25°C 29%
26°C 26%
24°C 23%
23°C 11%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
23%
25°C
32%
26°C
30%
27°C
12%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C oder höher
2%
25°C 29%
26°C 26%
24°C 23%
23°C 11%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
$111 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$267 Vol.
1%
22°C
$95 Vol.
5%
23°C
$301 Vol.
11%
24°C
$753 Vol.
23%
25°C
$204 Vol.
32%
26°C
$330 Vol.
30%
27°C
$156 Vol.
12%
28°C
$90 Vol.
6%
29°C
$117 Vol.
3%
30°C oder höher
$385 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent heavy rain and thick cloud cover over Tokyo on September 21, driven by a strong low-pressure system and northerly flow, which will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 25–26°C. These conditions—high humidity, reduced insolation, and evaporative cooling from rainfall—create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with slight differences in model timing of heaviest precipitation or wind shifts determining whether the peak reaches 26°C or stays at 24–25°C. Historical September baselines for Tokyo show similar frontal systems often produce highs 2–4°C below clear-sky potential. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,809Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent heavy rain and thick cloud cover over Tokyo on September 21, driven by a strong low-pressure system and northerly flow, which will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 25–26°C. These conditions—high humidity, reduced insolation, and evaporative cooling from rainfall—create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with slight differences in model timing of heaviest precipitation or wind shifts determining whether the peak reaches 26°C or stays at 24–25°C. Historical September baselines for Tokyo show similar frontal systems often produce highs 2–4°C below clear-sky potential. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,809Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent heavy rain and thick cloud cover over Tokyo on September 21, driven by a strong low-pressure system and northerly flow, which will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 25–26°C. These conditions—high humidity, reduced insolation, and evaporative cooling from rainfall—create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with slight differences in model timing of heaviest precipitation or wind shifts determining whether the peak reaches 26°C or stays at 24–25°C. Historical September baselines for Tokyo show similar frontal systems often produce highs 2–4°C below clear-sky potential. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen