Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a maximum temperature of 23–25°C in Paris on September 20, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly to northwesterly winds and increasing cloud cover that limits strong daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's heaviest volume on 24°C (36%) and 25°C (23%), as models show only modest day-to-day adjustments and no significant warm or cool advection in the latest runs. Historical September averages near 21°C provide context, while the slight positive anomaly reflects the current synoptic pattern. Traders are pricing in limited upside risk beyond 26°C given the cloudy trend and typical model spread for a two-day horizon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 20. September?
24°C 36%
23°C 31%
25°C 23%
22°C 14%
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
31%
24°C
36%
25°C
23%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 36%
23°C 31%
25°C 23%
22°C 14%
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
31%
24°C
36%
25°C
23%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a maximum temperature of 23–25°C in Paris on September 20, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly to northwesterly winds and increasing cloud cover that limits strong daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's heaviest volume on 24°C (36%) and 25°C (23%), as models show only modest day-to-day adjustments and no significant warm or cool advection in the latest runs. Historical September averages near 21°C provide context, while the slight positive anomaly reflects the current synoptic pattern. Traders are pricing in limited upside risk beyond 26°C given the cloudy trend and typical model spread for a two-day horizon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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