Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus show Guangzhou highs of 33–34°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation risk, consistent with a modest warming trend from recent days near 32°C. Subtropical late-summer conditions, residual monsoon moisture, and urban heat effects support this range, though clearer skies or a slightly warmer air mass could push maxima to 35°C. Historical September averages near 32°C and low model spread around the 18th limit upside beyond 36°C, aligning trader-implied probabilities most closely with the 34–35°C outcomes as the dominant near-term scenario ahead of updated runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 18. September?
35°C 43%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 19%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
19%
34°C
23%
35°C
32%
36°C
20%
37°C
6%
38°C oder höher
<1%
35°C 43%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 19%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
28°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5 Vol.
19%
34°C
$0 Vol.
23%
35°C
$122 Vol.
32%
36°C
$0 Vol.
20%
37°C
$0 Vol.
6%
38°C oder höher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus show Guangzhou highs of 33–34°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation risk, consistent with a modest warming trend from recent days near 32°C. Subtropical late-summer conditions, residual monsoon moisture, and urban heat effects support this range, though clearer skies or a slightly warmer air mass could push maxima to 35°C. Historical September averages near 32°C and low model spread around the 18th limit upside beyond 36°C, aligning trader-implied probabilities most closely with the 34–35°C outcomes as the dominant near-term scenario ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$152Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus show Guangzhou highs of 33–34°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation risk, consistent with a modest warming trend from recent days near 32°C. Subtropical late-summer conditions, residual monsoon moisture, and urban heat effects support this range, though clearer skies or a slightly warmer air mass could push maxima to 35°C. Historical September averages near 32°C and low model spread around the 18th limit upside beyond 36°C, aligning trader-implied probabilities most closely with the 34–35°C outcomes as the dominant near-term scenario ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$152Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus show Guangzhou highs of 33–34°C on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation risk, consistent with a modest warming trend from recent days near 32°C. Subtropical late-summer conditions, residual monsoon moisture, and urban heat effects support this range, though clearer skies or a slightly warmer air mass could push maxima to 35°C. Historical September averages near 32°C and low model spread around the 18th limit upside beyond 36°C, aligning trader-implied probabilities most closely with the 34–35°C outcomes as the dominant near-term scenario ahead of updated runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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