Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen’s September 16 high near 30–32 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31 °C and 32 °C. Current surface observations show partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dew points near 24 °C, conditions that support strong daytime heating but allow scattered afternoon cloud build-up to cap the peak. Historical September averages for the city hover around 31 °C, yet interannual variability and short-term steering patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of any convective clouds, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle changes in subsidence strength ahead of the next frontal passage. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold most likely to resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 16. September?
31°C 32%
32°C 29%
33°C 18%
29°C 17%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
17%
30°C
13%
31°C
32%
32°C
29%
33°C
18%
34°C
9%
35°C oder höher
12%
31°C 32%
32°C 29%
33°C 18%
29°C 17%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$0 Vol.
32%
32°C
$0 Vol.
29%
33°C
$5 Vol.
18%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen’s September 16 high near 30–32 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31 °C and 32 °C. Current surface observations show partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dew points near 24 °C, conditions that support strong daytime heating but allow scattered afternoon cloud build-up to cap the peak. Historical September averages for the city hover around 31 °C, yet interannual variability and short-term steering patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of any convective clouds, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle changes in subsidence strength ahead of the next frontal passage. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold most likely to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$5Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen’s September 16 high near 30–32 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31 °C and 32 °C. Current surface observations show partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dew points near 24 °C, conditions that support strong daytime heating but allow scattered afternoon cloud build-up to cap the peak. Historical September averages for the city hover around 31 °C, yet interannual variability and short-term steering patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of any convective clouds, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle changes in subsidence strength ahead of the next frontal passage. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold most likely to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen’s September 16 high near 30–32 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31 °C and 32 °C. Current surface observations show partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dew points near 24 °C, conditions that support strong daytime heating but allow scattered afternoon cloud build-up to cap the peak. Historical September averages for the city hover around 31 °C, yet interannual variability and short-term steering patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of any convective clouds, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle changes in subsidence strength ahead of the next frontal passage. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold most likely to resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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