**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 16 position 17–18°C as the most likely daily high.** Model consensus from sources including GFS runs shows skies clearing after overnight rain on the 15th, with building high pressure and brisk southeasterly winds promoting dry, stable conditions. These factors typically limit afternoon warming to the mid-teens Celsius in early spring, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when daytime maxima average near 18°C. **Trader-implied odds heavily favor 18°C (62%) and 17°C (32%)** because the latest guidance clusters tightly in this narrow band, with minimal spread toward 19°C or higher. Lower outcomes below 16°C carry little weight absent unexpected cooling from stronger onshore flow or persistent cloud cover. The market reflects real-time aggregation of these model outputs and historical analogs for post-frontal clearing in the region, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at local stations. Updated forecasts later on the 15th or early the 16th could refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 16. September?
18°C 62%
17°C 32%
16°C 4%
19°C 4%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
32%
18°C
62%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 62%
17°C 32%
16°C 4%
19°C 4%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
$368 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$214 Vol.
2%
14°C
$197 Vol.
3%
15°C
$425 Vol.
2%
16°C
$958 Vol.
4%
17°C
$1,015 Vol.
32%
18°C
$1,727 Vol.
62%
19°C
$910 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C oder höher
$204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 16 position 17–18°C as the most likely daily high.** Model consensus from sources including GFS runs shows skies clearing after overnight rain on the 15th, with building high pressure and brisk southeasterly winds promoting dry, stable conditions. These factors typically limit afternoon warming to the mid-teens Celsius in early spring, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when daytime maxima average near 18°C.
**Trader-implied odds heavily favor 18°C (62%) and 17°C (32%)** because the latest guidance clusters tightly in this narrow band, with minimal spread toward 19°C or higher. Lower outcomes below 16°C carry little weight absent unexpected cooling from stronger onshore flow or persistent cloud cover. The market reflects real-time aggregation of these model outputs and historical analogs for post-frontal clearing in the region, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at local stations. Updated forecasts later on the 15th or early the 16th could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$6,344Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 16 position 17–18°C as the most likely daily high.** Model consensus from sources including GFS runs shows skies clearing after overnight rain on the 15th, with building high pressure and brisk southeasterly winds promoting dry, stable conditions. These factors typically limit afternoon warming to the mid-teens Celsius in early spring, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when daytime maxima average near 18°C.
**Trader-implied odds heavily favor 18°C (62%) and 17°C (32%)** because the latest guidance clusters tightly in this narrow band, with minimal spread toward 19°C or higher. Lower outcomes below 16°C carry little weight absent unexpected cooling from stronger onshore flow or persistent cloud cover. The market reflects real-time aggregation of these model outputs and historical analogs for post-frontal clearing in the region, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at local stations. Updated forecasts later on the 15th or early the 16th could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,344Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 16 position 17–18°C as the most likely daily high.** Model consensus from sources including GFS runs shows skies clearing after overnight rain on the 15th, with building high pressure and brisk southeasterly winds promoting dry, stable conditions. These factors typically limit afternoon warming to the mid-teens Celsius in early spring, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when daytime maxima average near 18°C. **Trader-implied odds heavily favor 18°C (62%) and 17°C (32%)** because the latest guidance clusters tightly in this narrow band, with minimal spread toward 19°C or higher. Lower outcomes below 16°C carry little weight absent unexpected cooling from stronger onshore flow or persistent cloud cover. The market reflects real-time aggregation of these model outputs and historical analogs for post-frontal clearing in the region, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at local stations. Updated forecasts later on the 15th or early the 16th could refine the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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