Recent model guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows ensemble forecasts for London’s September 15 maximum temperature clustered tightly around 22–23 °C, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of a weak Atlantic front create the narrow uncertainty range, with urban heat-island effects adding further local variability. Historical September averages near 19 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the distribution. Updated high-resolution runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely resolve the final degree.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 15. September?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 15. September?
23°C 46%
22°C 43%
21°C 7%
24°C 7%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
43%
23°C
46%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 46%
22°C 43%
21°C 7%
24°C 7%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$56 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$17 Vol.
1%
19°C
$55 Vol.
1%
20°C
$273 Vol.
1%
21°C
$427 Vol.
7%
22°C
$1,143 Vol.
43%
23°C
$886 Vol.
46%
24°C
$65 Vol.
7%
25°C
$114 Vol.
2%
26°C oder höher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows ensemble forecasts for London’s September 15 maximum temperature clustered tightly around 22–23 °C, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of a weak Atlantic front create the narrow uncertainty range, with urban heat-island effects adding further local variability. Historical September averages near 19 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the distribution. Updated high-resolution runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely resolve the final degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volumen
$3,147Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows ensemble forecasts for London’s September 15 maximum temperature clustered tightly around 22–23 °C, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of a weak Atlantic front create the narrow uncertainty range, with urban heat-island effects adding further local variability. Historical September averages near 19 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the distribution. Updated high-resolution runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely resolve the final degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,147Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows ensemble forecasts for London’s September 15 maximum temperature clustered tightly around 22–23 °C, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of a weak Atlantic front create the narrow uncertainty range, with urban heat-island effects adding further local variability. Historical September averages near 19 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the distribution. Updated high-resolution runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely resolve the final degree.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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