Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 14, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory’s climatological normals of roughly 30.8°C mean daily maximum in mid-September. Partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and low-to-moderate shower chances (10–50% probability) are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from persistent rain. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 31°C (36.5%) and 32°C (26.5%) outcomes, aligns with this narrow forecast range around the seasonal average, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent observational trends and model consensus. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. September?
31°C 37%
32°C 27%
30°C 24%
29°C 8%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
24%
31°C
37%
32°C
27%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 27%
30°C 24%
29°C 8%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$283 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$116 Vol.
3%
29°C
$122 Vol.
8%
30°C
$165 Vol.
24%
31°C
$106 Vol.
37%
32°C
$447 Vol.
27%
33°C
$138 Vol.
5%
34°C
$331 Vol.
2%
35°C
$84 Vol.
1%
36°C oder höher
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 14, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory’s climatological normals of roughly 30.8°C mean daily maximum in mid-September. Partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and low-to-moderate shower chances (10–50% probability) are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from persistent rain. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 31°C (36.5%) and 32°C (26.5%) outcomes, aligns with this narrow forecast range around the seasonal average, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent observational trends and model consensus. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,204Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 14, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory’s climatological normals of roughly 30.8°C mean daily maximum in mid-September. Partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and low-to-moderate shower chances (10–50% probability) are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from persistent rain. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 31°C (36.5%) and 32°C (26.5%) outcomes, aligns with this narrow forecast range around the seasonal average, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent observational trends and model consensus. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,204Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 14, consistent with the Hong Kong Observatory’s climatological normals of roughly 30.8°C mean daily maximum in mid-September. Partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and low-to-moderate shower chances (10–50% probability) are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from persistent rain. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 31°C (36.5%) and 32°C (26.5%) outcomes, aligns with this narrow forecast range around the seasonal average, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent observational trends and model consensus. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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