Current forecasts from NOAA and GFS models indicate Dallas overnight lows near 76–83°F on September 12, well above the 1991–2020 normal minimum of 71.5°F, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and suppressing radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% for ≤71°F versus ≥90°F because ensemble spreads show possible late wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could enhance cooling, versus continued warm advection keeping minima elevated. Historical records confirm daily lows above 78°F are rare this date, underscoring model uncertainty ahead of updated NWS guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 12. September?
71°F oder weniger 87%
90°F oder höher 85%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 39%
71°F oder weniger
87%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
39%
90°F oder höher
85%
71°F oder weniger 87%
90°F oder höher 85%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 39%
71°F oder weniger
87%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
39%
90°F oder höher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and GFS models indicate Dallas overnight lows near 76–83°F on September 12, well above the 1991–2020 normal minimum of 71.5°F, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and suppressing radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% for ≤71°F versus ≥90°F because ensemble spreads show possible late wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could enhance cooling, versus continued warm advection keeping minima elevated. Historical records confirm daily lows above 78°F are rare this date, underscoring model uncertainty ahead of updated NWS guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen