Recent model consensus from GFS and other guidance points to a stable post-frontal environment over Paris on September 10, with high pressure and light westerly flow supporting a daytime maximum near the long-term average of 22°C. Forecast highs cluster around 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies after morning lows near 11–12°C, with minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal range due to the moderating oceanic influence. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (46%) and the near-equal support for 21°C and 23°C, while outcomes outside 20–23°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and the absence of anomalous warm or cold advection in the latest runs. Updated model guidance expected through September 9 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 10. September?
22°C 47%
21°C 22%
23°C 21%
20°C 6%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
17°C oder darunter
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
22%
22°C
47%
23°C
21%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 22%
23°C 21%
20°C 6%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
17°C oder darunter
$332 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$51 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$87 Vol.
6%
21°C
$139 Vol.
22%
22°C
$453 Vol.
47%
23°C
$511 Vol.
21%
24°C
$102 Vol.
3%
25°C
$174 Vol.
3%
26°C
$70 Vol.
1%
27°C oder höher
$97 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other guidance points to a stable post-frontal environment over Paris on September 10, with high pressure and light westerly flow supporting a daytime maximum near the long-term average of 22°C. Forecast highs cluster around 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies after morning lows near 11–12°C, with minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal range due to the moderating oceanic influence. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (46%) and the near-equal support for 21°C and 23°C, while outcomes outside 20–23°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and the absence of anomalous warm or cold advection in the latest runs. Updated model guidance expected through September 9 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,015Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other guidance points to a stable post-frontal environment over Paris on September 10, with high pressure and light westerly flow supporting a daytime maximum near the long-term average of 22°C. Forecast highs cluster around 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies after morning lows near 11–12°C, with minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal range due to the moderating oceanic influence. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (46%) and the near-equal support for 21°C and 23°C, while outcomes outside 20–23°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and the absence of anomalous warm or cold advection in the latest runs. Updated model guidance expected through September 9 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,015Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and other guidance points to a stable post-frontal environment over Paris on September 10, with high pressure and light westerly flow supporting a daytime maximum near the long-term average of 22°C. Forecast highs cluster around 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies after morning lows near 11–12°C, with minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal range due to the moderating oceanic influence. This alignment explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (46%) and the near-equal support for 21°C and 23°C, while outcomes outside 20–23°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and the absence of anomalous warm or cold advection in the latest runs. Updated model guidance expected through September 9 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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