Recent forecasts from European models indicate Madrid will reach a daily high near 34–35°C on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and strong daytime insolation with low humidity. This positions 35°C and 36°C as the closest outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating, boundary-layer mixing, and minor wind shifts that can add or subtract 1°C. A cooling trend driven by an approaching Atlantic front is expected to limit further warming, consistent with climatological September norms of 28–30°C but elevated by residual warm advection. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 8. September?
35°C 54%
36°C 41%
34°C 7%
37°C 4%
31°C oder niedriger
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
54%
36°C
41%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C oder höher
<1%
35°C 54%
36°C 41%
34°C 7%
37°C 4%
31°C oder niedriger
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
54%
36°C
41%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models indicate Madrid will reach a daily high near 34–35°C on September 8 under clear skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and strong daytime insolation with low humidity. This positions 35°C and 36°C as the closest outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating, boundary-layer mixing, and minor wind shifts that can add or subtract 1°C. A cooling trend driven by an approaching Atlantic front is expected to limit further warming, consistent with climatological September norms of 28–30°C but elevated by residual warm advection. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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