Recent NWS and NOAA model consensus indicates a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on September 6, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, with mostly sunny skies limiting daytime heating. This places the event below the long-term average high of 79.5°F for the date. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 72–77°F because modest differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or residual cloud cover can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Updated short-range forecasts and morning soundings will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 6. September?
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 36%
76-77°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
18°C oder weniger
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
24%
78-79 °F
16%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
15%
84°F oder höher
4%
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 36%
76-77°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
18°C oder weniger
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
24%
78-79 °F
16%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
15%
84°F oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS and NOAA model consensus indicates a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on September 6, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, with mostly sunny skies limiting daytime heating. This places the event below the long-term average high of 79.5°F for the date. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 72–77°F because modest differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or residual cloud cover can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Updated short-range forecasts and morning soundings will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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