Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chongqing on September 4 most likely between 33–35°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, which favors clear skies and strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. The city’s topographic basin amplifies heat retention through reduced ventilation, while low-level humidity and light winds limit evaporative cooling. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Service projects center-city highs near 35–36°C, though ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in exact steering flows and boundary-layer mixing. Historical early-September climatology shows typical maxima around 33–34°C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds on 34°C and 35°C as traders weigh model consensus against potential local microclimate variations ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 4. September?
34°C 31%
35°C 26%
31°C 17%
33°C 16%
29°C oder darunter
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
9%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
26%
36°C
14%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C oder höher
5%
34°C 31%
35°C 26%
31°C 17%
33°C 16%
29°C oder darunter
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
9%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
26%
36°C
14%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chongqing on September 4 most likely between 33–35°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, which favors clear skies and strong daytime insolation with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. The city’s topographic basin amplifies heat retention through reduced ventilation, while low-level humidity and light winds limit evaporative cooling. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Service projects center-city highs near 35–36°C, though ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in exact steering flows and boundary-layer mixing. Historical early-September climatology shows typical maxima around 33–34°C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds on 34°C and 35°C as traders weigh model consensus against potential local microclimate variations ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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