Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and significant rainfall expected over Shanghai on September 2, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 28–29 °C. Northeast winds and a moist air mass further suppress temperature rise, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September transition into the rainy season. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation—common sources of model spread—could push the daily high across those thresholds. Updated runs and official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. September?
30°C 33%
29°C 30%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
NEU
$26,574 Vol.
NEU
$26,574 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
29°C 30%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
NEU
$26,574 Vol.
NEU
$26,574 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
$2,232 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,746 Vol.
1%
27°C
$777 Vol.
5%
28°C
$2,968 Vol.
10%
29°C
$7,037 Vol.
30%
30°C
$3,968 Vol.
33%
31°C
$5,443 Vol.
24%
32°C
$878 Vol.
3%
33°C
$757 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and significant rainfall expected over Shanghai on September 2, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 28–29 °C. Northeast winds and a moist air mass further suppress temperature rise, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September transition into the rainy season. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation—common sources of model spread—could push the daily high across those thresholds. Updated runs and official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$26,574Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and significant rainfall expected over Shanghai on September 2, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 28–29 °C. Northeast winds and a moist air mass further suppress temperature rise, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September transition into the rainy season. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation—common sources of model spread—could push the daily high across those thresholds. Updated runs and official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$26,574Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and significant rainfall expected over Shanghai on September 2, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 28–29 °C. Northeast winds and a moist air mass further suppress temperature rise, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September transition into the rainy season. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation—common sources of model spread—could push the daily high across those thresholds. Updated runs and official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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